They should at least have to pay the max marginal tax rate on all the donations they got that could have been tax deductible. And any other tax benefit they received.
I'm so genuinely confused by all this. It seems that Altman has a lot of detractors here, and I'm not sure why (my fault for not keeping up I guess). But a company that wants to spend trillions of dollars on AGI infrastructure and hopes to re-shape the entire global economy surely needs to plow a staggering amount of money into its operations and not into a non-profit. I get that there is controversy over redirecting profits of a very successful business from a non-profit entity (which would be great) to private parties, but... that was always going to happen right? Am I just too cynical?
What am I missing? I'm genuinely curious.
Also, the largest theft in human history surely has to be the East India Company extracting something like 50 trillion from India over 200 years, right?
> Also, the largest theft in human history surely has to be the East India Company extracting something like 50 trillion from India over 200 years, right?
I never understood these sorts of statements. I feel historical events maybe after the Victorian age can claim to be theft, otherwise it's just empires and conquest.
Adjusted for inflation, wouldn't Alexander the Great's plundering of Persia, which at the time comprised 40% of the world's population, be the greatest theft in human history, using your logic?
> I feel historical events maybe after the Victorian age can claim to be theft, otherwise it's just empires and conquest.
It was always theft. Having been done in the past does not make them less theft. The reason East India Company is shown as example for such things is that it is the first human organization that did those on an industrial scale and genocidally.
It was already starving Indians by forcing them to plant opium instead of food crops to sell to the Chinese to kill them for money (20 million/year estimated dead from opium) in the late 18th century. And when the Chinese finally tried to stop it, Opium wars happened. The justification shown for that war was 'Free trade'. The justifications still havent changed, neither the practices. This should tell you why East India Company is specifically evil, because it is the first large scale application of the evil you see today and it invented a lot of its methods.
The article tracks some good historical quotes. But it doesn’t seem to try and steel man the other side, that is, what’s oAI worth without its workers and an attached for profit company?
To the extent the answer is ‘much lower’ then he could have spent a whole blog post congratulating California ag and Sam for landing the single largest new public charity in real dollar terms maybe ever.
If the point is “it sticks in my craw that the team won’t keep working how they used to plan on working even when the team has already left” then, fair enough. But I disagree with theft as an angle; there are too many counter factuals to think through before you should make a strong case it’s theft.
Put another way - I think the writer hates Sam and so we get this. I’m guessing we will not be reading an article where Ilya leaving and starting a C corp with no charitable component is called theft.
Are you saying that because you're cynical you thought Altman would always go for the biggest money grab possible, and so you won't criticize him on that basis? I'm cynical enough to think a lot of people will always go for the biggest money grab possible, but I still will criticize them for doing so.
No, I'm saying I'm cynical because I assume that whenever this much money is involved there's no way events unfold in a fair, ethical, utopian way. It always turns into a knife fight in the mud.
I should have structured my sentences a little better. I'm not confused about why he has detractors, I'm confused as to why people thought it would go any other way with this munch money on the line.
But, you're right, that's no reason to refrain from criticizing them for it.
It seems a bit strange to me that we as a society have agreed to arrest everyone in the knife fight in the mud despite very little risk of innocent parties wandering into the mud to be hurt, but if you put on a dress shirt..
> It’s as if a mugger demanded all your money, you talked them down to giving up half your money, and you called that exchange a ‘change that recapitalized you.’
It is special because of what is being discussed here: it attempted (pretended?) to do so as a non-profit, which arguably gave it early support by people who otherwise may not have provided it. None of the other players you mention did so, which to me makes it an unfair advantage. Or not, given that it seems that anything is fair that you can get away with these days.
Theft of what, and from whom? The author breathlessly jumps around without ever establishing the most basic premise. Seems like clickbait doom-mongering more than anything substantial.
Imagine if an executive was running the world’s largest charity for cancer research, which was chartered to make sure a cure remained in the public trust and raised millions with that promise.
But then once they discovered a cure for cancer the executive instead decided to transfer that cure to a ruthlessly competitive company they personally owned a large percentage of and then become a billionaire many times over.
He doesn't, which the Sam haters consistently just ignore or gloss over. Or my favorite, they pivot to complaining about how OpenAI is investing in companies he has a stake in, so that's how he's grifting everyone! Which makes no sense, because he could have pretty easily openly negotiated tens of billions in equity in OpenAI if he was after that, rather than try and do some kind of sleight of hand behind the scenes to maybe make 1% of that. Maybe.
Non-profits are literally tax-exempt. OAI spent 10 years being tax-exempt in exchange for doing work that fully benefits the public. Now that work, 10 years of tax exempt work, is being handed over to a taxable outfit, a for-profit organization. If the result of 10 years of tax-exempt efforts get handed to a for-profit company, the taxes that were never paid should be because the public benefit that got them the tax benefit wasn't fulfilled, in fact it was stolen and handed to ultra-wealthy capitalists.
You mean the results that a few other companies almost instantly copied and productive themselves once the way to do it was discovered? There is no moat around LLMs.
All the sources I can find say that the revenue of ChatGPT was through the for-profit division, and that they’ve been paying taxes on all their revenue.
Is there some other tax that they’ve avoided paying?
It doesnt matter what kind of tax they didnt pay. They SHOULD pay tax. Otherwise this makes it a loophole for private companies to dump research & development costs on the taxpayer but reap all the profits.
Income taxes are not the only tax non-profits are exempted from. Sales and property taxes are others, depending on jurisdiction, California being one such state. I am not familiar if OpenAI-NP has been exempted from these
The money they received was tax deductible for the people who “donated it”. They money should have been taxed as income for either the earner or OpenAI.
I'd be curious if people were actually writing off their OpenAI bills as donations. That would be a big number for the enterprise deals, if they qualify as a donation
Especially when those same speculative gains were predicated on the "theft" happening in the first place. The non-profit got at least a full order of magnitude more value out of the current deal than they could have gotten had OpenAI left their corporate structure unchanged. And they still get to control more of OpenAI if its valuation explodes, so the "upside" profile that they used to get by capping profits is broadly unchanged. Want even more upside? Then the non-profit can just plow some of their current stake into buying cheap options at their fair market price.
- finding funders willing to risk billions for capped returns.
Neither happened. And I'm not sure the public would invest 100's of billions on the promise of AGI. I'm glad there are investors willing to take that chance. We all benefit either way if it is achieved.
I feel as though you're ignoring the most important part of that sentence. I assume you meant to write;
I believe that AGI will be a net benefit to whomever controls it.
I would argue that if a profit driven company rents something valuable out to others, you should expect it would benefit them just as much if not more, than those paying for that privilege. Rented things may be useful, but they certainly are not a net benefit to the system as a whole.
No, I believe AGI will have a net benefit for all of humanity. The telephone system was a net benefit for all Americans even though for a time AT& T (Ma Bell) controlled it.
A lot of funding was predicated on them making the transition. Also they would not have been able to IPO without the transition, so there was a funding problem when you look at it that way.
The IP concern is real, but it isn’t binary: we can move from monolithic pretraining on scraped corpora to multi-agent, agentic LLM workflows that retrieve licensed content at inference with provenance, metering, and revocation. Distributed agentic AI lets rights holders expose APIs or sandboxes so models reason in parallel over data without copying it, yielding auditable logs and pay-per-use economics. Parallel agentic AI pipelines can also enforce policy (e.g., no-train/no-store) as first-class constraints, which is much harder to do with a single opaque model.
I want to understand this more, so can someone please ELI5 what the theft in the article actually is? Theft implies someone lost something. I think it's theft from the non-profit? But what does that mean? Is it theft of taxes because of the wealth accumulated in the non-profit was not taxed according to how it would have been for a for-profit entity?
EDIT: I'm not sure why I'm being downvoted. I read the article and it's not clear to me. The entire article is written with the assumption that the reader knows what the author is thinking.
It seems like you're mixing "I don't understand X" with what's effectively an argument that X is false. Perhaps people feel that there's some bad faith in that approach.
Also, the article is very clear - the wealth transfer is moving the money/capital controlled by a non-profit to stockholders of a for-profit company. The non-profit lost that property, the share holders gained that property. It seems like taking an implicit assumption something like "the same people are running the for-profit on the same basis they ran the non-profit so where's the theft" - feel free to make that argument but mix the claim with "I don't understand" doesn't seem like a fair approach.
I'm absolutely not arguing that X is false, because I don't know what X is, and I am arguing in good faith. I will follow up with the question: if the non-profit and the for-profit are owned by the same shareholders, what is the theft? Is this not a legal transfer between business entities?
I am also a somewhat harsh critic of Sam Altman (mostly around theft of IP used to train models, and around his odd obsession with gathering biometrics of people). So I'm honestly looking for answers here to understand, again, what wrongdoing is being done?
I'm not 100% clear myself but I think that the criticism is that what was supposed to be a non-profit delivering world-changing technology for the public good was bullied/manipulated into a for-profit entity that would enrich investors and consolidate power among the wealthy.
So the "theft" is the wealthy stealing the benefits of AGI from the people. I think.
This is the "everybody has a price" principle applied to organizations. One way to compare corruption across countries is by looking at the price you need to pay to override or bypass oversight, and how widely the resulting gains are distributed through the network.
Anyone else read Empire of AI? It left me pretty disgusted with openAI and Altman in particular. Curious if anyone has a rec for a book that is more positive in AIs benefits / the behavior of Sam / OAI?
Edit: downvoting why? Sama fanboys? Tell me your book rec then.
When the whole ai thing exploded Sam Altman was peddling this hopeful narrative that Openai is a non profit is concerned about safety and improving humanity, and they were working with regulators to ensure the safety of the industry. The cynics have been vindicated.
> or
when Altman said that if OpenAI succeeded at building
AGI, it might “capture the light
cone of all future value in the
universe.” That, he said, “is for
sure not okay for one group of
investors to have.”
He really is the king of exaggeration.
If i understood correctly the author does admit that continuing openai as a nonprofit is unrealistic, and the current balance of power could be much worse, but what disgusts me is the dishonest messaging they started off with.
According to empire of ai, they started OpenAI as a nonprofit so they could get people devoted to the mission and wouldn’t have to pay the high SV wages
I think OpenAI is screwed long-term, and their leadership knows it. Their most significant advantage was their employees, most of whom have now left for other companies. They're getting boxed in across every segment where they were previously the leader:
- Multimodality (browser use, video): To compete here, they need to take on Google, which owns the two biggest platforms and can easily integrate AI into them (Chrome and YouTube).
- Pricing: Chinese companies are catching up fast. It feels like a new Chinese AI company appears every day, slowly creeping up the SOTA benchmarks (and now they have multimodality, too).
- Coding and productivity tools: Anthropic is now king, with both the most popular coding tool and model for coding.
- Social: Meta is a behemoth here, but it's surprising how far they've fallen (where is Llama at?). This is OpenAI's most likely path to success with Sora, but history tells us AI content trends tend to fade quickly (remember the "AI Presidents" wave?).
OpenAI knows that if AGI arrives, it won't be through them. Otherwise, why would they be pushing for an IPO so soon?
It makes sense to cash out while we're still in "the bubble." Big Tech profits are at an all-time high, and there's speculation about a crash late next year.
I'd agree with all those facts about the competitive landscape, but in each of those competitors, there's enough wiggle room for me to think OpenAI isn't completely boxed in.
Google on multimodality: has been truly impressive over the last six months and has the deep advantages of Chrome, YouTube, and being the default web indexer, but it's entirely plausible they flub the landing on deep product integration.
Chinese companies and pricing: facts, and it's telling to me that OpenAI seems to have abandoned their rhetorical campaign from earlier this year teasing that "maybe we could charge $20000 a month" https://techcrunch.com/2025/03/05/openai-reportedly-plans-to....
Coding: Anthropic has been impressive but reliability and possible throttling of Claude has users (myself included) looking for alternatives.
Social: I think OpenAI has the biggest opportunity here, as OpenAI is closest to being a consumer oriented company of the model hyperscalers and they have a gigantic user base that they can take to whatever AI-based platform category replaces social. I'm somewhat skeptical that Meta at this point has their finger on the pulse of social users, and I think Superintelligence Labs isn't well designed to capitalize on Meta's advantages in segueing from social to whatever replaces social.
> an ipo is a way to seek more capital. they don't think they can achieve agi solely through private investment.
private deals are becoming bigger than public deals recently. so perhaps the IPO market is not a larger source of capital. different untapped capital, maybe, but probably not larger.
Have to agree if services likes Deepseek remain free or at least extremely cheap I don’t see a long term profitability outlook for OpenAI. Gemini has also greatly improved and with Googles infrastructure and ecosystem … again long term outlook doesn’t look promising for OpenAI.
Unfortunately I think you are wrong. Their most important asset is the leadership role of the company, the brand name and the muscle memory. Other employers may come and go - on a system level this doesn’t look important as longer as they can replace talanted folks with other talanted ones. This seems to be the case for nowhere
They should at least have to pay the max marginal tax rate on all the donations they got that could have been tax deductible. And any other tax benefit they received.
I'm so genuinely confused by all this. It seems that Altman has a lot of detractors here, and I'm not sure why (my fault for not keeping up I guess). But a company that wants to spend trillions of dollars on AGI infrastructure and hopes to re-shape the entire global economy surely needs to plow a staggering amount of money into its operations and not into a non-profit. I get that there is controversy over redirecting profits of a very successful business from a non-profit entity (which would be great) to private parties, but... that was always going to happen right? Am I just too cynical?
What am I missing? I'm genuinely curious.
Also, the largest theft in human history surely has to be the East India Company extracting something like 50 trillion from India over 200 years, right?
> Also, the largest theft in human history surely has to be the East India Company extracting something like 50 trillion from India over 200 years, right?
I never understood these sorts of statements. I feel historical events maybe after the Victorian age can claim to be theft, otherwise it's just empires and conquest.
Adjusted for inflation, wouldn't Alexander the Great's plundering of Persia, which at the time comprised 40% of the world's population, be the greatest theft in human history, using your logic?
>I feel historical events maybe after the Victorian age can claim to be theft, otherwise it's just empires and conquest.
"empires and conquest" is literally armed robbery.
The world population was a lot lower back then, and India is quite large to begin with.
Yeah, you're right, it's not a fair comparison.
> I feel historical events maybe after the Victorian age can claim to be theft, otherwise it's just empires and conquest.
One criterion that might work is whether there's some greater power around that says it's theft, and is able/willing to enforce that in some manner.
So for example a successful conquest isn't theft, but a failed conquest is probably attempted theft (and vandalism of course).
If we're going by theft as a percent of world GDP, then surely the biggest theft was when Zog stole Ug's best smashing rock
That's nothin', my great^N ancestor was part of a horde that conquered the entire planet in a Grey-Goo apocalypse.
Sure, it's divided up amongst all the descendants now, but it was quite a heist.
when Zog stole Ug’s intellectual property rights in the starting of fire.
This was my favorite Far Side
The measurement should be theft per capita or how many people did Sam Altman take from?
Divide total GDP by the population and turn it into one unit.
Ug's best smashing rock would be 1.
There no way Persia comprised 40% of the world population at that time with India and China around.
> I feel historical events maybe after the Victorian age can claim to be theft, otherwise it's just empires and conquest.
It was always theft. Having been done in the past does not make them less theft. The reason East India Company is shown as example for such things is that it is the first human organization that did those on an industrial scale and genocidally.
https://yourstory.com/2014/08/bengal-famine-genocide
It was already starving Indians by forcing them to plant opium instead of food crops to sell to the Chinese to kill them for money (20 million/year estimated dead from opium) in the late 18th century. And when the Chinese finally tried to stop it, Opium wars happened. The justification shown for that war was 'Free trade'. The justifications still havent changed, neither the practices. This should tell you why East India Company is specifically evil, because it is the first large scale application of the evil you see today and it invented a lot of its methods.
The article tracks some good historical quotes. But it doesn’t seem to try and steel man the other side, that is, what’s oAI worth without its workers and an attached for profit company?
To the extent the answer is ‘much lower’ then he could have spent a whole blog post congratulating California ag and Sam for landing the single largest new public charity in real dollar terms maybe ever.
If the point is “it sticks in my craw that the team won’t keep working how they used to plan on working even when the team has already left” then, fair enough. But I disagree with theft as an angle; there are too many counter factuals to think through before you should make a strong case it’s theft.
Put another way - I think the writer hates Sam and so we get this. I’m guessing we will not be reading an article where Ilya leaving and starting a C corp with no charitable component is called theft.
[deleted]: I need to be calm before posting.
If only we all would!
Are you saying that because you're cynical you thought Altman would always go for the biggest money grab possible, and so you won't criticize him on that basis? I'm cynical enough to think a lot of people will always go for the biggest money grab possible, but I still will criticize them for doing so.
No, I'm saying I'm cynical because I assume that whenever this much money is involved there's no way events unfold in a fair, ethical, utopian way. It always turns into a knife fight in the mud.
Okay, but what I'm asking about is this part of your previous comment:
> It seems that Altman has a lot of detractors here, and I'm not sure why
Why are you confused/surprised that Altman has detractors?
I should have structured my sentences a little better. I'm not confused about why he has detractors, I'm confused as to why people thought it would go any other way with this munch money on the line.
But, you're right, that's no reason to refrain from criticizing them for it.
It seems a bit strange to me that we as a society have agreed to arrest everyone in the knife fight in the mud despite very little risk of innocent parties wandering into the mud to be hurt, but if you put on a dress shirt..
But they should unfold in a legal way. And I'm not convinced that they have.
Yes. Colonialism is certainly going to be worse. One AI company going from non profit to whatever it is now is not close.
> It’s as if a mugger demanded all your money, you talked them down to giving up half your money, and you called that exchange a ‘change that recapitalized you.’
Strictly speaking, in this scenario the mugger was recapitalized
Breaking news: For profit company chases profit, briefly pretends it's not while it is
This is it exactly.
Plus, why do people think OAI is still special? Facebook, Google, and many smaller companies are doing the exact same work developing models.
It is special because of what is being discussed here: it attempted (pretended?) to do so as a non-profit, which arguably gave it early support by people who otherwise may not have provided it. None of the other players you mention did so, which to me makes it an unfair advantage. Or not, given that it seems that anything is fair that you can get away with these days.
Theft of what, and from whom? The author breathlessly jumps around without ever establishing the most basic premise. Seems like clickbait doom-mongering more than anything substantial.
Here’s an analogy that might help:
Imagine if an executive was running the world’s largest charity for cancer research, which was chartered to make sure a cure remained in the public trust and raised millions with that promise.
But then once they discovered a cure for cancer the executive instead decided to transfer that cure to a ruthlessly competitive company they personally owned a large percentage of and then become a billionaire many times over.
I thought Altman didn't own hardly any equity.
He doesn't, which the Sam haters consistently just ignore or gloss over. Or my favorite, they pivot to complaining about how OpenAI is investing in companies he has a stake in, so that's how he's grifting everyone! Which makes no sense, because he could have pretty easily openly negotiated tens of billions in equity in OpenAI if he was after that, rather than try and do some kind of sleight of hand behind the scenes to maybe make 1% of that. Maybe.
"Theft" means taking something from someone without consent. Who lost what ? There is no law suite, so maybe it's a donation ??
The taxpayers / government. If they have been abusing their NP status to avoid taxes, they should have to back pay those.
What taxes are they not paying?
I am unable to find any concrete claim of specific tax avoidance. Only these exasperated “but taxes” comments.
Non-profits are literally tax-exempt. OAI spent 10 years being tax-exempt in exchange for doing work that fully benefits the public. Now that work, 10 years of tax exempt work, is being handed over to a taxable outfit, a for-profit organization. If the result of 10 years of tax-exempt efforts get handed to a for-profit company, the taxes that were never paid should be because the public benefit that got them the tax benefit wasn't fulfilled, in fact it was stolen and handed to ultra-wealthy capitalists.
You mean the results that a few other companies almost instantly copied and productive themselves once the way to do it was discovered? There is no moat around LLMs.
Do you think really think they were profitable during that time?
What taxes did the non-profit skirt?
All the sources I can find say that the revenue of ChatGPT was through the for-profit division, and that they’ve been paying taxes on all their revenue.
Is there some other tax that they’ve avoided paying?
Sales & property, see my nearby comment for links
Oh shit, the company that revolutionized AI didn’t pay their fair share of SF property taxes. Now I understand the outrage!
It doesnt matter what kind of tax they didnt pay. They SHOULD pay tax. Otherwise this makes it a loophole for private companies to dump research & development costs on the taxpayer but reap all the profits.
Surely they have never turned a profit and are a long way from being profitable. If so, what taxes, current or back, would they owe?
Income taxes are not the only tax non-profits are exempted from. Sales and property taxes are others, depending on jurisdiction, California being one such state. I am not familiar if OpenAI-NP has been exempted from these
https://www.fplglaw.com/insights/california-nonprofit-law-es...
The money they received was tax deductible for the people who “donated it”. They money should have been taxed as income for either the earner or OpenAI.
I'd be curious if people were actually writing off their OpenAI bills as donations. That would be a big number for the enterprise deals, if they qualify as a donation
Surely the money coming in would otherwise have been investments exchanged for stock, which are not taxed until gains are realized.
It seems weird to say speculative gains were lost
Especially when those same speculative gains were predicated on the "theft" happening in the first place. The non-profit got at least a full order of magnitude more value out of the current deal than they could have gotten had OpenAI left their corporate structure unchanged. And they still get to control more of OpenAI if its valuation explodes, so the "upside" profile that they used to get by capping profits is broadly unchanged. Want even more upside? Then the non-profit can just plow some of their current stake into buying cheap options at their fair market price.
Sure, but in this case the speculative scenario is the entire premise behind the existence of the charity in the first place.
The charity was premised on either:
- AGI being cheap to develop, or
- finding funders willing to risk billions for capped returns.
Neither happened. And I'm not sure the public would invest 100's of billions on the promise of AGI. I'm glad there are investors willing to take that chance. We all benefit either way if it is achieved.
'We all benefit either way'?
I am not sure that making labour obsolete, and putting the replacement in the hands of a handful of investor will result in everybody benefiting.
That's a different conversation. I believe AGI will be a net benefit.
I feel as though you're ignoring the most important part of that sentence. I assume you meant to write;
I believe that AGI will be a net benefit to whomever controls it.
I would argue that if a profit driven company rents something valuable out to others, you should expect it would benefit them just as much if not more, than those paying for that privilege. Rented things may be useful, but they certainly are not a net benefit to the system as a whole.
No, I believe AGI will have a net benefit for all of humanity. The telephone system was a net benefit for all Americans even though for a time AT& T (Ma Bell) controlled it.
Your pattern matching skills leave a lot of room for improvement.
Information interconnection is meaningfully different from AGI, and the environment ATT and Bell existed within no longer exist.
There isn't AGI
Exactly. That's why I called them speculative.
"Neither happened"? I wasn't aware the OpenAI capped-profit corp had a funding problem?
A lot of funding was predicated on them making the transition. Also they would not have been able to IPO without the transition, so there was a funding problem when you look at it that way.
The IP concern is real, but it isn’t binary: we can move from monolithic pretraining on scraped corpora to multi-agent, agentic LLM workflows that retrieve licensed content at inference with provenance, metering, and revocation. Distributed agentic AI lets rights holders expose APIs or sandboxes so models reason in parallel over data without copying it, yielding auditable logs and pay-per-use economics. Parallel agentic AI pipelines can also enforce policy (e.g., no-train/no-store) as first-class constraints, which is much harder to do with a single opaque model.
I want to understand this more, so can someone please ELI5 what the theft in the article actually is? Theft implies someone lost something. I think it's theft from the non-profit? But what does that mean? Is it theft of taxes because of the wealth accumulated in the non-profit was not taxed according to how it would have been for a for-profit entity?
EDIT: I'm not sure why I'm being downvoted. I read the article and it's not clear to me. The entire article is written with the assumption that the reader knows what the author is thinking.
It seems like you're mixing "I don't understand X" with what's effectively an argument that X is false. Perhaps people feel that there's some bad faith in that approach.
Also, the article is very clear - the wealth transfer is moving the money/capital controlled by a non-profit to stockholders of a for-profit company. The non-profit lost that property, the share holders gained that property. It seems like taking an implicit assumption something like "the same people are running the for-profit on the same basis they ran the non-profit so where's the theft" - feel free to make that argument but mix the claim with "I don't understand" doesn't seem like a fair approach.
I'm absolutely not arguing that X is false, because I don't know what X is, and I am arguing in good faith. I will follow up with the question: if the non-profit and the for-profit are owned by the same shareholders, what is the theft? Is this not a legal transfer between business entities?
I am also a somewhat harsh critic of Sam Altman (mostly around theft of IP used to train models, and around his odd obsession with gathering biometrics of people). So I'm honestly looking for answers here to understand, again, what wrongdoing is being done?
I'm not 100% clear myself but I think that the criticism is that what was supposed to be a non-profit delivering world-changing technology for the public good was bullied/manipulated into a for-profit entity that would enrich investors and consolidate power among the wealthy.
So the "theft" is the wealthy stealing the benefits of AGI from the people. I think.
This is the "everybody has a price" principle applied to organizations. One way to compare corruption across countries is by looking at the price you need to pay to override or bypass oversight, and how widely the resulting gains are distributed through the network.
Anyone else read Empire of AI? It left me pretty disgusted with openAI and Altman in particular. Curious if anyone has a rec for a book that is more positive in AIs benefits / the behavior of Sam / OAI?
Edit: downvoting why? Sama fanboys? Tell me your book rec then.
a Lehman Brothers moment
When the whole ai thing exploded Sam Altman was peddling this hopeful narrative that Openai is a non profit is concerned about safety and improving humanity, and they were working with regulators to ensure the safety of the industry. The cynics have been vindicated.
> or when Altman said that if OpenAI succeeded at building AGI, it might “capture the light cone of all future value in the universe.” That, he said, “is for sure not okay for one group of investors to have.”
He really is the king of exaggeration.
If i understood correctly the author does admit that continuing openai as a nonprofit is unrealistic, and the current balance of power could be much worse, but what disgusts me is the dishonest messaging they started off with.
According to empire of ai, they started OpenAI as a nonprofit so they could get people devoted to the mission and wouldn’t have to pay the high SV wages
And (im pretty sure) to get funding from prominent figures who were afraid of AI being monopolized privately and being used for evil...
Just looking at Altman's history none of this is even remotely surprising.
Lookup Worldcoin for instance.
I think OpenAI is screwed long-term, and their leadership knows it. Their most significant advantage was their employees, most of whom have now left for other companies. They're getting boxed in across every segment where they were previously the leader:
- Multimodality (browser use, video): To compete here, they need to take on Google, which owns the two biggest platforms and can easily integrate AI into them (Chrome and YouTube).
- Pricing: Chinese companies are catching up fast. It feels like a new Chinese AI company appears every day, slowly creeping up the SOTA benchmarks (and now they have multimodality, too).
- Coding and productivity tools: Anthropic is now king, with both the most popular coding tool and model for coding.
- Social: Meta is a behemoth here, but it's surprising how far they've fallen (where is Llama at?). This is OpenAI's most likely path to success with Sora, but history tells us AI content trends tend to fade quickly (remember the "AI Presidents" wave?).
OpenAI knows that if AGI arrives, it won't be through them. Otherwise, why would they be pushing for an IPO so soon?
It makes sense to cash out while we're still in "the bubble." Big Tech profits are at an all-time high, and there's speculation about a crash late next year.
If they want to cash out, now is the time.
I'd agree with all those facts about the competitive landscape, but in each of those competitors, there's enough wiggle room for me to think OpenAI isn't completely boxed in.
Google on multimodality: has been truly impressive over the last six months and has the deep advantages of Chrome, YouTube, and being the default web indexer, but it's entirely plausible they flub the landing on deep product integration.
Chinese companies and pricing: facts, and it's telling to me that OpenAI seems to have abandoned their rhetorical campaign from earlier this year teasing that "maybe we could charge $20000 a month" https://techcrunch.com/2025/03/05/openai-reportedly-plans-to....
Coding: Anthropic has been impressive but reliability and possible throttling of Claude has users (myself included) looking for alternatives.
Social: I think OpenAI has the biggest opportunity here, as OpenAI is closest to being a consumer oriented company of the model hyperscalers and they have a gigantic user base that they can take to whatever AI-based platform category replaces social. I'm somewhat skeptical that Meta at this point has their finger on the pulse of social users, and I think Superintelligence Labs isn't well designed to capitalize on Meta's advantages in segueing from social to whatever replaces social.
> OpenAI knows that if AGI arrives, it won't be through them. Otherwise, why would they be pushing for an IPO so soon?
an ipo is a way to seek more capital. they don't think they can achieve agi solely through private investment.
> an ipo is a way to seek more capital. they don't think they can achieve agi solely through private investment.
private deals are becoming bigger than public deals recently. so perhaps the IPO market is not a larger source of capital. different untapped capital, maybe, but probably not larger.
Have to agree if services likes Deepseek remain free or at least extremely cheap I don’t see a long term profitability outlook for OpenAI. Gemini has also greatly improved and with Googles infrastructure and ecosystem … again long term outlook doesn’t look promising for OpenAI.
Unfortunately I think you are wrong. Their most important asset is the leadership role of the company, the brand name and the muscle memory. Other employers may come and go - on a system level this doesn’t look important as longer as they can replace talanted folks with other talanted ones. This seems to be the case for nowhere
> It feels like a new Chinese AI company appears every day
The average joe is not using them though, for the general public AI is ChatGpt.
What about just search? I basically never use google anymore and am perfectly happy to pay for OpenAI
> most of whom have now left for other companies
Is there like a public list of all employees who have transitioned or something? As far as I know there have been some high profile departures.
And here I thought the article would be about the blatant copyright infringement of every author, artist, and creative to train their models.
Take image diffusion models. They’re trained on the creative works of thousands and completely eliminates the economic niche for them.