Evaluation is harder than you think because of statistics.
Like if you want to accurately know if one model is better than another you have to test it on hundreds if not thousands of examples which are carefully graded in difficulty, not in the training sets, etc.
Practically you might try model A and model B and use each one 2-3 times on different tasks and walk out with the impression that A is really good and B sux, but it could be model A got lucky because you asked it to do things it is good at or maybe it just got lucky and got the right answer anyway.
This is a hard problem for me as well. Right now I've just been using the best model available (like Opus, or GPT 5.5, or Gemin Pro) but it's not ideal. My problem is anytime I step down the results are subtlely worse and sometimes I don't notice immediately depending on what I'm doing.
As far as Opus vs. GPT 5.5 etc, I generally decide with:
1. Code? -> Opus
2. Docs? -> GPT
3. Real-time or recent information needed? -> Gemini
It's far from perfect though. Would love to hear others thoughts.
Opus eats tokens so fast so I try to minimize it but compared to Sonnet I definitely see fewer issues in my larger projects. Sonnet has gone off the rails a few times.
The short answer is that it depends how well you define the boundaries of the task and the relative complexity. For example, smaller model is usually fine for something like summarization, but an "easier" coding task might still actually be quite difficult unless you eval it heavily like @paulhoule said
for short, stateless stuff,definitions, formatting, quick lookups I have never noticed a meaningful difference between models. But anything that requires reasoning across a lot of prior context, it's usually claude sonet or opus.
But feels like the vibe will soon take me to codex
Evaluation is harder than you think because of statistics.
Like if you want to accurately know if one model is better than another you have to test it on hundreds if not thousands of examples which are carefully graded in difficulty, not in the training sets, etc.
Practically you might try model A and model B and use each one 2-3 times on different tasks and walk out with the impression that A is really good and B sux, but it could be model A got lucky because you asked it to do things it is good at or maybe it just got lucky and got the right answer anyway.
See https://arxiv.org/html/2410.12972v1 and https://arxiv.org/pdf/2505.14810 -- those papers are considering a general space of tasks but you could totally do the same kind of eval for the tasks you care about.
Have you implemented any of this in practice? Eg are you benchmarking models?
I've done some for classification, ranking, and other sorts of non-generative tasks.
This is a hard problem for me as well. Right now I've just been using the best model available (like Opus, or GPT 5.5, or Gemin Pro) but it's not ideal. My problem is anytime I step down the results are subtlely worse and sometimes I don't notice immediately depending on what I'm doing.
As far as Opus vs. GPT 5.5 etc, I generally decide with:
1. Code? -> Opus
2. Docs? -> GPT
3. Real-time or recent information needed? -> Gemini
It's far from perfect though. Would love to hear others thoughts.
Opus eats tokens so fast so I try to minimize it but compared to Sonnet I definitely see fewer issues in my larger projects. Sonnet has gone off the rails a few times.
The short answer is that it depends how well you define the boundaries of the task and the relative complexity. For example, smaller model is usually fine for something like summarization, but an "easier" coding task might still actually be quite difficult unless you eval it heavily like @paulhoule said
Gemini for recent search and google workspace automation
Perplexity for deep research
Claude Opus for coding, Sonnet for writing
Gemma4 for local AI overviews and analysis
Qwen coder for local prototyping
for short, stateless stuff,definitions, formatting, quick lookups I have never noticed a meaningful difference between models. But anything that requires reasoning across a lot of prior context, it's usually claude sonet or opus. But feels like the vibe will soon take me to codex