I really think the main factor in determining if prediction markets are valuable is their predictions from outside election day. Once the “blue tsunami” was “expected” most of the markets shot overwhelmingly in one direction as the night wrapped up. You need to have a boundary for comparison that isn’t influenced by election night. Starting at 5AM is a decent cut point but I would argue the final poll date is the best comparison.
Love or hate PolyMarket, it should be on this list too.
I think it would be less distracting if they updated at a reasonable rate. If the pointer events were serialized using a small binary format, the update rate could be raised dramatically with minimal bandwidth increase over the current implementation.
I really think the main factor in determining if prediction markets are valuable is their predictions from outside election day. Once the “blue tsunami” was “expected” most of the markets shot overwhelmingly in one direction as the night wrapped up. You need to have a boundary for comparison that isn’t influenced by election night. Starting at 5AM is a decent cut point but I would argue the final poll date is the best comparison.
Love or hate PolyMarket, it should be on this list too.
What’s with the mouse cursors? I can barely read this on mobile because it’s covered with “guest” pointers
I think it would be less distracting if they updated at a reasonable rate. If the pointer events were serialized using a small binary format, the update rate could be raised dramatically with minimal bandwidth increase over the current implementation.
Neat idea, thanks. Why show the cursors on here? I found them somewhat distracting and am not sure what purpose they're serving.
It's an interesting idea but I closed the page without reading it because it was so distracting.
I agree this is unreadable
Seems like someone is trolling hn, holy moly that web design
Unreadable